New State election poll puts Labor ahead in Strathfield with less than a week to go before the vote

A new poll as put the Labor Party just ahead in the state seat of Strathfield, with less than a week to go before polling day.

All voter sampling suggests a nail-biting finish in Strathfield, after both sides mounted tough campaigns.

According to a ReachTel telephone poll taken on Thursday, and reported in today’s Fairfax Media, the two-party preferred vote stands at 50.8 per cent to Labor’s Jodi McKay and 49.2 per cent to incumbent Liberal Charles Casuscelli.

The poll takes a look at three marginal seats, and has Labor ahead in Ballina, Newtown and Strathfield.

The poll shows a tight fight between the two candidates, with the seat expected to go down to the wire. 

Interestingly, the poll gives the Green’s Lance Dale 9.8 per cent even though he was a late entry and has hardly figured in campaigning so far.

Mr Casuscelli is fighting to defend a 6.4 per cent margin.

The ReachTel poll maintains that 47 per cent of Strathfield opposes the leasing of power lines.

Mr Casuscelli could take heart from a poll in today’s Daily Telegraph, however, which showed some marginal seats with a majority as thin as his still could delivery for Premier Mike Baird.

A Galaxy/The Daily Telegraph poll taken last week has Mr Baird ahead in the marginal seats of Campbelltown (despite only a 6.8 per cent margin), Coogee (on an 8.3 per cent margin) and The Entrance (on an 11.2 per cent margin).

In Campbelltown, a poll of 514 voters has the Liberals ahead 51 to 49 on a two-party preferred basis, a swing of 5.8 per cent against the government and a nail biting finish..

In Coogee, a poll of 550 voters has Liberal MP Bruce Notley-Smith ahead 52 to 48 (a swing of 6.3) and in The Entrance, a poll of 535 voters has the Liberals ahead 51 to 49 — a swing of 10.2 per cent.

The loss of just 10 seats would see the Coalition with 57 seats in the legislative assembly and Labor 33-34, depending on its contests with the Greens in inner west.


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